The NY Times notes that the agencies responsible for telling us (the West) what is going on in Iran really don't know. There is a shocker.
The Israelis, who have delivered veiled threats of a military strike, say they believe that Iran has restarted these “weaponization” efforts, which would mark a final step in building a nuclear weapon. The Germans say they believe that the weapons work was never halted. The French have strongly suggested that independent international inspectors have more information about the weapons work than they have made public.
Meanwhile, in closed-door discussions, American spy agencies have stood firm in their conclusion that while Iran may ultimately want a bomb, the country halted work on weapons design in 2003 and probably has not restarted that effort — a judgment first made public in a 2007 National Intelligence Estimate.
I can't imagine what would make any sentient being think they were not working on weapons. There is no punishment for doing so, and once they have them they completely change the balance of power in the region in their favor. Of course they are building them, and the fact that our own "intelligence" agencies say they are not makes it virtually certain they are. They released that 2007 NIE with full knowledge of the recently publicized secret facility and likely several others. It seems that the CIA is mostly a foreign policy justifying organ and they don't want any action taken against Iran. I would have trouble believing anything with their name on it.