Terrorism Or Mechanical Failure

Posted By Blackfive

When I was watching the news with Mrs. Blackfive, yesterday, and we saw the speculation that two Russian passengers planes had crashed - possibly due to terrorism, Mrs. Blackfive leaned over and said, "What do you think about that?"

"Russians shot 'em down", was my answer.

Knowing the Russian regard for human life runs a bit low, and knowing their use of deadly force in terrorist actions in the past, and knowing their propensity to blow @#%& up before getting any answers, I was thinking that two MIGs intercepted the planes (after the pilots set off the terror alert beacons) and shot them down before they could be crashed into the Kremlin or other government buildings.

Now, it looks like I was probably wrong about a downing by the Russian Air Force. Russian government officials are saying it looks like terrorists blew up the planes. No group yet has claimed responsibility. And the Russian government is not known for "transparency" so we may never know who did what.

Maybe someone used Surface-to-Air missles instead of taking over the planes. I haven't looked at or heard about the size of the debris field. It could be miles if a SAM was used. A bit less if it were a bomb. And a lot less if they were forced down.

Maybe, and the odds aren't that bad, the two planes could have just crashed simultaneously. After all, Russian aviation is in pretty sorry shape.

Considering the lack of a terrorist group claiming responsibility, what do you think happened?

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Comments

Terrorism Or Mechanical Failure

When I was watching the news with Mrs. Blackfive, yesterday, and we saw the speculation that two Russian passengers planes had crashed - possibly due to terrorism, Mrs. Blackfive leaned over and said, "What do you think about that?"

"Russians shot 'em down", was my answer.

Knowing the Russian regard for human life runs a bit low, and knowing their use of deadly force in terrorist actions in the past, and knowing their propensity to blow @#%& up before getting any answers, I was thinking that two MIGs intercepted the planes (after the pilots set off the terror alert beacons) and shot them down before they could be crashed into the Kremlin or other government buildings.

Now, it looks like I was probably wrong about a downing by the Russian Air Force. Russian government officials are saying it looks like terrorists blew up the planes. No group yet has claimed responsibility. And the Russian government is not known for "transparency" so we may never know who did what.

Maybe someone used Surface-to-Air missles instead of taking over the planes. I haven't looked at or heard about the size of the debris field. It could be miles if a SAM was used. A bit less if it were a bomb. And a lot less if they were forced down.

Maybe, and the odds aren't that bad, the two planes could have just crashed simultaneously. After all, Russian aviation is in pretty sorry shape.

Considering the lack of a terrorist group claiming responsibility, what do you think happened?

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» Russian Plane Explosions from A Physicist's Perspective
There are indeed now suggestions that the sudden explosion of two Russian airliners in midair several days ago was indeed the work of terrorists. (Surprise!) See here and here. Of course, it makes you wonder why the Russians were so busy when it firs... [Read More]